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January 28, 2003

Toby Westerman, Editor and Publisher                                                                                          Copyright 2003

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Iraqi Opposition to Saddam Hussein - Controlled by Pro-Iranian Group?
December 18, 2002

International News Analysis Today Exclusive Report
By Toby Westerman
Copyright 2002 International News Analysis Today
www.inatoday.com

A stormy conference of Iraqi opposition leaders just held in London has led to the domination of anti-Saddam activities by a pro-Iranian Islamic group. Iran is one of the nations defined as part of the "axis of evil," and a opponent of the U.S. since its Islamic revolution overthrew the American backed Shah in 1979.

The London conference of opposition groups was backed by the U.S. in an effort to unite rival anti-Saddam groups, sometimes as hostile to each other as to the regime in Baghdad.

The conference, originally scheduled for two days, lasted four, with exchanges so heated, that at one point U.S. President George Bush's envoy, Zalmay Khalilzad walked out of one of the sessions.

The Supreme Council of the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI) gained control of the 65 member committee established at the London conference coordinating relations between the anti-Saddam groups with foreign nations, according to a recent British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) report.

The SCIRI is based in Teheran, the capital of Iran, and receives a steady flow of journalists and foreign diplomats. The SCIRI is led by the sometimes anti-American Ayatollah Sayed Mohamad Baqir al-Hakim, who fled to Iran in 1980.

The highly respected French news daily, Le Figaro, describes al-Hakim in terms of a political chameleon, able to adapt to his surroundings, in this case Iran. Al-Hakim "seems to have evolved his politics to the liking of his Iranian hosts," states Le Figaro.

Although now part of the U.S. led coalition against Saddam Hussein, Al Hakim had earlier publicly condemned the United States, stating that "we do not put confidence in the Americans, they have always acted against the interests of the Iraqi people," according to Le Figaro.

Al-Hakim's position on an American attack upon Iraq has shifted between hatred and cooperation, apparently based upon circumstances, making statements "sometimes condemning…sometimes supporting" the expected U.S. assault against the Baghdad regime, according to an opponent quoted in Le Figaro.

While al-Hakim's true regard for the United States is unclear, the SCIRI is consistent in its hostility to Saddam Hussein, and in its campaign of subversion against the Baghdad regime.

Le Figaro estimates that the SCIRI has 8,000 resistance fighters in Iraq, while the SCIRI claims that it has "secret cells all over Iraq…involved in gathering information, media work, and military activities," according to a statement on their Internet site.

The SCIRI's active cells within Iraq gave the organization an advantage over its political rivals at the anti-Saddam London conference, since most of the anti-Saddam groups present do not have an identifiable support base in Iraq.

A news report from Deutsche Welle, the official broadcasting service of the German government, observed that, since "the majority of opposition leaders have spent years abroad, it is unclear to what extent they are even supported within Iraq."

The SCIRI, however, is not the only group with operative cells in Iraq. The Iraqi Communist Party is a small, but a well-organized entity in Iraq, and will let its presence be known in any election following Saddam's overthrow.

Copyright 2002 International News Analysis Today
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