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July 4, 2003

   Toby Westerman, Editor and Publisher                                                                                   Copyright 2003

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Potential Catastrophe as Communist China 's Actions in Hong Kong Threaten to Ignite Pacific --
Will U.S. be Involved?

July 4, 2003
By Toby Westerman
Copyright 2003 International News Analysis Today
www.inatoday.com

Communist China's demand that the former British colony of Hong Kong enact Article 23 - a stringent "anti-subversion" law -- is intensifying Taiwan's already palpable fear of rule by Beijing.

The United States could eventually become involved as Communist China projects its growing military might into the Pacific Ocean, and affects U.S. allies and interests.

Communist China, which is engaging in a rapid military build-up, is demanding that Taiwan, a traditional friend of the U.S., submit to Beijing's authority and adopt the same form of government as Hong Kong.

Tsai Ing-wen, the Chairwoman of Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council, which conducts Taiwan's relations with China, declared that Article 23 is undermining any hope of peaceful reunification of the island with the mainland, according to Radio Taipei International, the official broadcasting system of Taiwan, Republic of China.

Beijing has warned Taiwan that it faces attack if it does not submit to communist rule. Communist China's vast and fast-paced modernization program of its military will eventually permit a swift, devastating attack on the island, leaving the U.S. little time to aid its traditional ally.

Russia is Communist China's chief backer for its build-up, providing technical assistance and training to the Chinese military. Moscow has been Beijing's major supplier of weapons, training, and technology since the mid-1990s, and stated that it will assist Communist China in the construction of an orbiting space station.

Observers note that sales of products made in China and sold abroad finance Beijing's military ambitions.

Ironically, the U.S. may be financing a military showdown with Communist China, since U.S. consumer purchases pump billions of dollars into the Chinese economy, which, in turn, pays for China's increasingly sophisticated military machine.

While Communist China's war capabilities cast a growing shadow over the Asia-Pacific region, influential politicians on Taiwan declare that the island is defacto independent, a statement certain to inflame Beijing.

Taiwan separated from the mainland in 1949, when victorious communist troops forced defeated Nationalist troops to seek haven on the island. The U.S. Pacific fleet prevented communist troops from mounting an assault.

Although the U.S. ceased to recognize the Republic of China on Taiwan as the official government of China in 1979, the U.S. in 1979 adopted the Taiwan Relations Act requiring that the U.S. provide the island with the means needed to defend itself.

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